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Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters
Most forget their parameterized models are ad hoc, and so fret about how to put uncertainty on the parameters.
Jun 12
•
William M Briggs
12
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Class 54: Exchangeability & Parameters
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4
Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores
This is a revamped and updated classic post with new material.
Jun 11
•
William M Briggs
26
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Over-Certainty Of Polygenic Scores
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8
AI & The Dilemma Of Technology
Here, in two sentences, is the Dilemma of Technology:
Jun 10
•
William M Briggs
56
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AI & The Dilemma Of Technology
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7
What Are The Chances Thomas Jefferson & John Adams Died On The Fourth of July, 1826?
This one was too much fun, so I hope you will forgive and indulge me for this installment of What Are The Chances?
Jun 9
•
William M Briggs
38
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What Are The Chances Thomas Jefferson & John Adams Died On The Fourth of July, 1826?
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6
AI & The Dilemma Of Technology
Here, in two sentences, is the Dilemma of Technology:
Jun 9
•
William M Briggs
66
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AI & The Dilemma Of Technology
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18
53: Laplace Was Right!
Laplace infamously calculated the probability, given his evidence, the sun would rise in the east tomorrow at (something like) 0.9999995.
Jun 5
•
William M Briggs
32
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53: Laplace Was Right!
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11
Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering Out
One of my Inside-The-Academic-Beast contacts told me recently that the new crop of professors hired at a major well known university were unimaginative…
Jun 4
•
William M Briggs
105
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Even The Woke Say Science Is Petering Out
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21
Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know Best
I forgot to remind you of this week’s What Are The Chances?
Jun 3
•
William M Briggs
99
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Science Is Not The Answer
Expert Nathan Confas: Experts Know Best
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35
Science Claims 7% Of Adults Saw A Mass Shooting
A peer-reviewed scientific science study in JAMA said that “In a survey study of 10,000 US adults, 7% reported having been present on the scene where 4…
Jun 2
•
William M Briggs
69
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Science Claims 7% Of Adults Saw A Mass Shooting
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38
May 2025
Class 52: The Problem And Origin Of Parameters
Unobservable parameters abound in probability models.
May 29
•
William M Briggs
19
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Class 52: The Problem And Origin Of Parameters
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3
IQ Is Not Intelligence
Once again “IQ“.
May 28
•
William M Briggs
92
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IQ Is Not Intelligence
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52
What Are The Chances…George Wendt Dies On Same Day Cheers Ended 32 Years Before?
I know I wasn’t going to inflict upon you more What Are The Chances…?
May 27
•
William M Briggs
47
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Science Is Not The Answer
What Are The Chances…George Wendt Dies On Same Day Cheers Ended 32 Years Before?
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15
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