'Therefore I shall be the only and sole judge of what counts as the DIE crash. In the event of the tie, I will pick whoever I like best. Brides will be accepted.'
Brides will be accepted? I don't usually point out typos but this one is funny. If someone bribes you with a pretty young bride I say accept.
Anyway, it will definitely be this year. Planes are crashing left and right. I pick August 1, 2024.
«The Federal Aviation Administration is investigating an incident where two planes from American Airlines and Delta nearly collided mid-air over Syracuse, New York.»
“I will pick whoever I like best. Brides will be accepted.” I suspect your dear wife isn’t good with this, but, hey, it’s your contest, your rules!
Back to the intended subject at hand: the NTSB itself will go (has gone, likely) DIE, and will therefore obfuscate their investigation to ensure DIE isn’t implicated in the dying. Prediction: never, just an increase in airborne “sudden, unexpected, unexplainable”.
Me, I’m gonna rediscover the beauties of driving, and pray my DIE-made car doesn’t follow the example of its makers.
On first reflection, 2034; based upon the decade it will take for Diversity hired now to become Captains. Upon further reflection, 2024; based upon a non-Diverse Captain failing to stop his Diverse co-pilot doing something lethal, for fear of losing his job for countermanding a Diverse. My bet is, some non-Diverse Captain will ride to their and their passengers doom this way, sooner rather than later.
For anyone who can be bothered to do some math, Flight International has a section every month listing all accidents worldwide. Christendom has always had a significantly better safety record than the rest of the world, despite the overwhelming majority of airline flying being conducted in North America and Europe. Once Diverse, US airlines will converge with the accident rates elsewhere. For the price of a dozen magazines, you can have a pretty good estimate of the first Diverse accident.
The real question here is whether China will finally get fed up an declare war when one of its aircraft suffers a midair collision due to Donquaivious experiencing temporal dislocation (cf. brown people time) in the ATC tower.
My guess: Feb 15, this being shortly after Google's new TOC kick in for censoring 'sensitive incidents'.
Yep. We pilots once used automated NOTAMS for important area-related warnings etc. With the automation of many of these NOTAM broadcasts, it's not too far off the rails to foresee a day when the TOC AI blocks the broadcast because of "inappropriate content" (Gee, I didn't see that group of BLM protesters on the runway...)
Can we have a second competition to guess the amount of the class-action lawsuit against the airline(s) for knowingly hiring incompetent pilots (or against the FAA for knowingly hiring incompetent controllers) that follows?
No guesses here, but I do wonder if the FAA is in on the Climate Scam. After all, if planes start falling out of the sky, no one will want to fly, and just think of all the carbon emissions we'll all be saved from! Plus the benefit of all that human carbon sequestered in the soil when all the passengers and crew end up 10 feet underground at the crash site. It's enough to make an environmentalist swoon...
I soloed back in October 1973, and I've been flying both fixed-wing aircraft and helicopters ever since. Let me be clear—maintaining the FAA's current stringent requirements, as they were when I began my aviation journey, is crucial. I consider them the baseline requirements. Kirby's talk about diversifying pilot hires is ridiculous and most will wash out. The training demands a high level of confidence and self-discipline, and is not particularly fun. Most that start do not finish. Furthermore, diluting these standards might lead to significant issues. As William highlights at the beginning of this discussion, it's indeed a somber day for aviation.
5 near misses by 2030, one of them a partial collision on runway. U.S. government forced to step in. Guts FAA of the whackadoodles. Boeing restructures, aiming to bring production back to itself for quality assurance.
By the time DIE kills air passengers, Trump will have been dealt with by the Deep State. If he is still in charge of the USG, he'll be attempting to right the ship of state, including eliminating DIE, but it will refuse to right. And will continue to demand that we all DIE.
I know it won't count as two guesses from one account, but a coworker of mine is putting down September 4th. Other coworker found it much too morbid to guess.
For several of my less than optimum co-workers, I might subtly suggest that a career change to the exciting world of flying might be worth looking into. I'm thinking the janitor who is always taking PTO & WC for back problems (those beside the desk trash bins are sooo heavy) and the purchasing clerk who thinks it's okay to buy from vendors who charge too much and can't guarantee timely delivery because she's developing a relationship, and the production supervisor who spends more time on-line researching tech toys than doing his job. No. My conscience won't let me. Where they are isn't likely to kill anyone.
'Therefore I shall be the only and sole judge of what counts as the DIE crash. In the event of the tie, I will pick whoever I like best. Brides will be accepted.'
Brides will be accepted? I don't usually point out typos but this one is funny. If someone bribes you with a pretty young bride I say accept.
Anyway, it will definitely be this year. Planes are crashing left and right. I pick August 1, 2024.
July 20, 2025. Runway collision, Northern Hemisphere.
It will be attributed to climate change anyways.
«The Federal Aviation Administration is investigating an incident where two planes from American Airlines and Delta nearly collided mid-air over Syracuse, New York.»
https://x.com/rawsalerts/status/1811110516766466384
Not a runway collision, but it's not 2025 yet either. I still expect S to HTF in summer vacation season though.
The DIE is cast
Until recently, if you wanted a good surgeon pick the black guy or the woman; now pick the white guy.... the DIE is surely cast.
The late and wonderful Captain Beefheart (rock 'n roller), aka Don Van Vliet, noted
"We're all coloured, else you wouldn't be able to see us"
Mentioned this to a gent from India sitting next to me on a flight from London to Toronto, and he cracked up...
I get a Christmas card from Sam with the Showing Scalp Flattop (particular about the point it made) every year.
Another wonderful post. Thanks!
“I will pick whoever I like best. Brides will be accepted.” I suspect your dear wife isn’t good with this, but, hey, it’s your contest, your rules!
Back to the intended subject at hand: the NTSB itself will go (has gone, likely) DIE, and will therefore obfuscate their investigation to ensure DIE isn’t implicated in the dying. Prediction: never, just an increase in airborne “sudden, unexpected, unexplainable”.
Me, I’m gonna rediscover the beauties of driving, and pray my DIE-made car doesn’t follow the example of its makers.
On first reflection, 2034; based upon the decade it will take for Diversity hired now to become Captains. Upon further reflection, 2024; based upon a non-Diverse Captain failing to stop his Diverse co-pilot doing something lethal, for fear of losing his job for countermanding a Diverse. My bet is, some non-Diverse Captain will ride to their and their passengers doom this way, sooner rather than later.
For anyone who can be bothered to do some math, Flight International has a section every month listing all accidents worldwide. Christendom has always had a significantly better safety record than the rest of the world, despite the overwhelming majority of airline flying being conducted in North America and Europe. Once Diverse, US airlines will converge with the accident rates elsewhere. For the price of a dozen magazines, you can have a pretty good estimate of the first Diverse accident.
>Brides will be accepted
Brides of color?
The real question here is whether China will finally get fed up an declare war when one of its aircraft suffers a midair collision due to Donquaivious experiencing temporal dislocation (cf. brown people time) in the ATC tower.
My guess: Feb 15, this being shortly after Google's new TOC kick in for censoring 'sensitive incidents'.
Yep. We pilots once used automated NOTAMS for important area-related warnings etc. With the automation of many of these NOTAM broadcasts, it's not too far off the rails to foresee a day when the TOC AI blocks the broadcast because of "inappropriate content" (Gee, I didn't see that group of BLM protesters on the runway...)
*Google's TOS, damnit
Can we have a second competition to guess the amount of the class-action lawsuit against the airline(s) for knowingly hiring incompetent pilots (or against the FAA for knowingly hiring incompetent controllers) that follows?
No guesses here, but I do wonder if the FAA is in on the Climate Scam. After all, if planes start falling out of the sky, no one will want to fly, and just think of all the carbon emissions we'll all be saved from! Plus the benefit of all that human carbon sequestered in the soil when all the passengers and crew end up 10 feet underground at the crash site. It's enough to make an environmentalist swoon...
Let’s hope it’s Airforce one.
There is a lot of inertia in organizations such as these, competency may take time to unravel....
But what next Holiday (Holy Day) might combine busy skies, high winds and bad weather conditions that would bring about a DEI stress event?
On deck would be Easter Weekend.
God forbid something does happen, but if it does.. it'll be blamed on climate change (wink wink).
Regarding personal air travel -I'm tapping out... we'll be doing a lot of camping in nearby states.
When they get enough "qualified" DIE candidates up in the air and it is a drag queen pilot who is adjusting "its" wig and is not paying attention!
Bridery - be careful what you wish for.
I soloed back in October 1973, and I've been flying both fixed-wing aircraft and helicopters ever since. Let me be clear—maintaining the FAA's current stringent requirements, as they were when I began my aviation journey, is crucial. I consider them the baseline requirements. Kirby's talk about diversifying pilot hires is ridiculous and most will wash out. The training demands a high level of confidence and self-discipline, and is not particularly fun. Most that start do not finish. Furthermore, diluting these standards might lead to significant issues. As William highlights at the beginning of this discussion, it's indeed a somber day for aviation.
Betting on Green 00
5 near misses by 2030, one of them a partial collision on runway. U.S. government forced to step in. Guts FAA of the whackadoodles. Boeing restructures, aiming to bring production back to itself for quality assurance.
"U.S. government forced to step in."
What??!!!
DIE is the doing of the US government!
By the time DIE kills air passengers, Trump will have been dealt with by the Deep State. If he is still in charge of the USG, he'll be attempting to right the ship of state, including eliminating DIE, but it will refuse to right. And will continue to demand that we all DIE.
That's why mine is the 00 Green option. I didn't pick something probable, I picked the opposite.
I know it won't count as two guesses from one account, but a coworker of mine is putting down September 4th. Other coworker found it much too morbid to guess.
For several of my less than optimum co-workers, I might subtly suggest that a career change to the exciting world of flying might be worth looking into. I'm thinking the janitor who is always taking PTO & WC for back problems (those beside the desk trash bins are sooo heavy) and the purchasing clerk who thinks it's okay to buy from vendors who charge too much and can't guarantee timely delivery because she's developing a relationship, and the production supervisor who spends more time on-line researching tech toys than doing his job. No. My conscience won't let me. Where they are isn't likely to kill anyone.
July 4, 2025