5 Comments

What are the odds?

"hmm.. we run things around here.. that Trump as president thinks he does.... the laptop is genuine of course.. but what if we make the shifty claim that it has "all the hallmarks of Russian disinformation".. it will both discredit Trump and not give him an October surprise on Biden.. who is easy to control and will be easier as dementia progresses... hmm... "

N = 1

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"probabilities" arise in practice that violate the axiom of probability theory called "unit measure" thus not actually being probabilities!!!

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But what happens when 51 ex-CIA people claim Trump is a Russian agent or the laptop is fake.... depends upon how we regard the 51...For some of us, it convinces us that Trump isn't, and the laptop is real, because they are certainly lying...That is what the CIA does....I once worked with an ex-CIA guy, and he confirmed it....

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Beyond my ken:)

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