26 Comments
Sep 16Liked by William M Briggs

Here's what I am seeing:

The color words prime you to give a fast answer to an obious question when he asks for one.

He then tells you to pick a number where both digits are even. Primed to give a fast answer the first one that your mind hits is 22, because when we list even numbers we always say 2, 4, 6, 8 and oh yeah 0.

Then he tells you that they can't be the same. Primed for a fast answer you rapidly move to the next even number, 24, which is the first one that fulfills all of the conditions. Show it to someone without the part of the video where he asks you to name colors and you will get a different answer, or begin by telling them that the digits can't be the same and they won't arrive at the answer by the same two steps, I'm not sure what steps they will use, and you will get a different answer.

So, for probability if we neglect leading zeros then our set is 20, 24, 26, 28, 40, 42, 46, 48

So, on the bare numerical information we calculate 1/8 but when we add the information of his patter, it is something rather higher than that. I would guess as high as 3/4 but I'm not sure how to quantify the effects of the NLP. Any good ideas on that Briggs, other than running some trials and plugging in an experimentally derived number?

Expand full comment
Sep 16Liked by William M Briggs

He's wrong - I picked "42", no doubt influenced by Deep Thought.

Expand full comment
Sep 16Liked by William M Briggs

I got 40

Expand full comment
Sep 16Liked by William M Briggs

You just like to be different :) Interesting that it's 24 reversed though.

Expand full comment
Sep 16Liked by William M Briggs

We want Pr(A|B) where A equals one of the numbers satisfying B. Here B are the conditions that the number between 0 and 50 has 2 digits, both digits must be even, and the two digits cannot be the same. List all the even numbers between 0 and 50 that satisfy these conditions leaves only 24, 26 28, 42, 46, and 48. Therefore Pr(A|B)=1/6

Expand full comment
Sep 16Liked by William M Briggs

Bingo.

Expand full comment
Sep 16Liked by William M Briggs

I picked 48

Expand full comment
Sep 16Liked by William M Briggs

When asked to ‘think’ of an even number it’s pretty normal to ‘think’ of 2 first off. When asked to ‘think’ of two even numbers it is obvious to ‘think’ of 22, but since that it is not allowed then we just change the second 2 to 4, and answer 24.

I pose that these responses are not really an act of real thinking, but just a rapid response of previously assimilated information. We are thinking here in the comments when we try to understand how and why we respond the way that we do.

I’m pretty sure marketers and the government overlords are very much aware of how to trigger rapid responses and trick people into ‘thinking’ that they are thinking.

Example: who are you for? Harris or Trump? Which team do you want to win the Super Bowl? Iphone or android? Etc etc. No thinking requirement, just outputting base pre- determined information. We are continually being thrust into computer-like binary choices. Thinking is a different kind of activity than rapid fire responses of stored information.

Expand full comment
Sep 16Liked by William M Briggs

I should have mentioned that in answering 24, we are merely recalling an imprinted sequential learning.

Expand full comment
Sep 16Liked by William M Briggs

Practice non-binary thinking! As to your questions: Theodore Roosevelt. Red Sox. Rotary dial phone. Take that, overlords!

Expand full comment

1 in 8?

Expand full comment

carrot

Expand full comment
Sep 16Liked by William M Briggs

Onion

Expand full comment

You're an outlier 🤣

Ask your kids!

Expand full comment
Sep 16Liked by William M Briggs

My kids are 40 and 38. Should I ask my grandson?

Expand full comment

No ask your grown kids -- and yes, your grandson too! Ask everyone...

Expand full comment
Sep 16Liked by William M Briggs

Likely you can just do this without "priming" and get carrot most of the time.

Expand full comment
Sep 16·edited Sep 16Liked by William M Briggs

1/8

I picked 46.

Expand full comment
Sep 16Liked by William M Briggs

OK, so there seems to be a two / double thing happening.

First he's asking two children and they answer "white white" "black black" "gray gray"

He says, "I want you to think of a number between 0 and 50 but BOTH digits need to be even" so you might be inclined to think of 22 on BOTH and then push to 24 when he says the digits can't be the same. (I thought of 22 first though could that be because Masonic numbers figure more in my life than other numbers?)

Somehow I don't think it's got anything to do with the actual colour words. Very interesting if it did.

Expand full comment

Got me! I guessed 24 🤦🏻‍♂️

Expand full comment
Sep 16·edited Sep 16Liked by William M Briggs

Me too but I first thought 22 and pushed the second 2 to 4 when he said the digits have to be different.

It's obvious that's what people do but why? If he said different words would that make you think of a different number?

Expand full comment

I did the exact thing too

Expand full comment
Sep 16·edited Sep 16Liked by William M Briggs

It's just systematized thinking. I don't think the words are anything but a distraction. The words are opposites, followed by a melding of the opposites or a middle position, leaving every possibility open if they impact the numerical question, which I don't believe they do.

With the number problem, 2 through 8 are ruled out as single digit numbers, so you go to the 20s and the first possibility is 22, also ruled out, leaving 24 as the next answer - if you're thinking systematically, you never get to the 40s, or even 26 for that matter.

EDIT: next comment after mine got me thinking. 20 is an even number, but 22 comes to mind first because it is the simplest answer that comes to mind, until ruled out by the second condition, so you move on to the next possible even that satisfies both condition, not thinking about 20.

Expand full comment

It's like the one where you give people addition problems with the sum of 10 -- "what's 2 + 8? what's 7 + 3" what's 5 + 5??" etc and then ask them to name a vegetable.

Everyone says the same vegetable.

I'll put the vegetable in another comment.

Expand full comment
Sep 16Liked by William M Briggs

I just did this one. This is getting creepy. https://www.youtube.com/shorts/pZ7ZbVjtv-8?feature=share

Expand full comment
Sep 16Liked by William M Briggs

So I went to the guy's website and did this "mind reading" exercise but really do not have any idea why I got the word he predicted. https://www.youtube.com/shorts/EDIrQTX1EwE?feature=share

Expand full comment