Thank you for such a compelling lecture! Your perspective on the probability rabbit hole is absolutely fascinating. Honestly, I’ve never encountered this take on probability before. I’d wager—just a guess—that very few universities are teaching your book Uncertainty or Jaynes’ Probability in their courses. They’re just too far off the beaten path, and that’s a real shame.
When practicing statistics, it often feels like we’re missing the mark on the underlying theory, no matter how rigorously we apply it. It’s always feels off somehow. But your lectures, your book, and Jaynes' work are really filling that gap! I can’t thank you enough—turns out I’m not crazy after all.
In Brazil since 2016, the percentage of people who died on their birthday is the following (columns are year, people who died NOT on their birthday, people who died ON their birthday, percentage):
William,
Thank you for such a compelling lecture! Your perspective on the probability rabbit hole is absolutely fascinating. Honestly, I’ve never encountered this take on probability before. I’d wager—just a guess—that very few universities are teaching your book Uncertainty or Jaynes’ Probability in their courses. They’re just too far off the beaten path, and that’s a real shame.
When practicing statistics, it often feels like we’re missing the mark on the underlying theory, no matter how rigorously we apply it. It’s always feels off somehow. But your lectures, your book, and Jaynes' work are really filling that gap! I can’t thank you enough—turns out I’m not crazy after all.
I'd say none are reading mine, and probably only a handful of physics departments are reading Jaynes.
Inertia is huge.
Just 3.3 million research papers in 2022 and a projected 4.3 million for 2024 with 99% or more rubbish.
In Brazil since 2016, the percentage of people who died on their birthday is the following (columns are year, people who died NOT on their birthday, people who died ON their birthday, percentage):
2016 1265596 3840 0.30%
2017 1268945 3898 0.31%
2018 1273651 3963 0.31%
2019 1307487 4101 0.31%
2020 1513788 4583 0.30%
2021 1723603 5309 0.31%
2022 1443127 4247 0.29%
2023 1421034 4381 0.31%
Shouldn`t the percentage be 0.27%?