9 Comments
founding
Sep 9Liked by William M Briggs

Being incapable of grasping any of this stuff, am only here because this post activated my Schmenge Sensor browser extension. And what a Monday, because lo and behold our esteemed polymath in residence has offered up yet another great image of a Catholic nun at the blackboard, this time a Polish blackboard I'd say. Dispensing the finest primary education a kid could ever have hoped for (at least once upon a time). I should know, as a former fortunate recipient.

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Sep 9Liked by William M Briggs

“You may be an undigested bit of beef, a blot of mustard, a crumb of cheese, a fragment of underdone potato. There’s more of gravy than of grave about you, whatever you are!”

Charles Dickens on the probability of a ghost.

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Sep 12Liked by William M Briggs

Come on Briggs, you know very well we do not care about B! It gets in the way.

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Dear Matt:

Please read the article entitled "unit measure violations in pattern recognition. It proves that the measure of the conditional outcome of an event of the future is not necessariy a probability In particular, it is not a probability provided that the axiom of probability theory called "unit measure" is falsified by the argument made by the model

Cordially,

Terry Oldberg

650-518-6636 (mobile)

terry_oldberg@yahoo.com (email)

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The belief that "probability theory is the logic of science" is a consequence of the cognitive error of mistaking a "complex" physical system for a "non-complex: physical system in the construction of a model of this system.. Avoidance of this mistake yields the conclusion that "entropy minimax" iis the logic of science. "Entropy Minimax" reduces to Aristotle's three Laws of Thought in the limit as the missing information for a deductive conclusion to be reached by the inferences made by the model, per event

Terry Oldberg

Engineer, Scientist/Public Policy Researcher

Los Altos Hills, California

650-518-6636 (mobile)

terry_oldberg@yahoo.com (email)

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Diclaimer: no real insect was harmed during the production of this video. The wasp was actually a spying drone sent by Eastern enemies and it was deactivated with the first impact anyway, the rest of impacts were an application of the eagan doctrine "Trust but verify".

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author

He’d dead, baby.

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sic semper trespassers!

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Sep 9Liked by William M Briggs

"Probability Is Not Subjective"

true, that's why I don't gamble. :-)

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