I forgot to remind you of this week’s What Are The Chances? video. A truck carrying 216,000 dice spilled onto the highway, and they said the total was exactly 756,000. What are the chances of that?
Many are missing the best part of the story of the Harvard professor whose expertise was academic dishonesty and who herself was busted for academic dishonesty. Admittedly, it’s tough to get past the hilarious irony. Plus, it helps to have been in on an earlier joke.
That knee-slapper is “elite human capital”. These are the folks who score well on IQ Tests, or who are awarded various “degrees” or credentials and who, they insist, because of their academic experience, ought to be deferred to on most or even all matters, that making decisions or doing research without the aid of these able masters is to be deprecated, possibly made illegal in various ways, and that the rest of us should give our betters their due.
This short video from elite Nathan Confas gives you an idea of the attitude. His argument starts well. “For your opinion to have value,” he says, “to be worth paying attention to, you should meet some level of education of the subject, have some knowledge of the subject.” This is so obvious it’s a truism, because whenever you get into a debate with someone over anything they assume their level of knowledge of the subject is sufficient to hold an opinion. Whether they are right or wrong about the opinion, or its effects, is an entirely different matter. Hence the debate. Confast thought some debates were unnecessary: “Ultimately, high quality opinions will come from people who know what they are talking about; i.e., Experts.”
Is that true? Of course: sometimes. Often? Let’s see.
Experts, among them credentialed, high-ranking academics and respected authorities, have decided men are women when the men say they are women, or when other Experts have carved a “front hole” into the men, a hole which, alas, fecal matter is sometimes present. Experts chase after kids to drug them into believing they are the opposite sex.
Experts have decided whites are responsible for all evils of the world, that being white confers an occult power that manifests as “racism“, even when the white is unaware of it and when the white has no power in fact. America, Experts tell us, was founded as a “racist” nation. Experts call whites psychopathic by nature. Experts say all people are equal, except whites, who excel at “racism”.
Experts have decided that any change whatsoever to the earth’s climate, which has never remained still, is evil and your fault. Worse, Experts in every field have proved, to their satisfaction, that every evil in the world will be exacerbated by “climate change”—yes, even “racism“—and that even plants will give up photosynthesis when their primary food (carbon dioxide) becomes plentiful. Experts labeled carbon dioxide a “pollutant.”
Experts want to drug and shrink you and poison the meat so that it loses its savor, in order to “save the planet”. Experts call pregnancy a disease. Experts organize deadly sin of “Pride parades”. Experts declare borders distasteful and asked many to break the law to cross them.
Is it easiest to just write Expert bureaucrats and diplomats? Expert lawyers.
Experts insisted you wear a face talisman to ward off evil air spirits. Experts said those talismans failed in their magic unless everybody had one. Experts, to placate disease demons, made you walk only one way down supermarket aisles. Experts declared that if you strayed within 5′-31/32″ of another person you would die a horrible death. Experts said you must take their drug, which was “safe and effective”, and which perfectly protected you against contracting a disease or passing it on. Experts said the drug only worked if everybody took it. Experts said it was impossible the drug would have any side effects.
Experts declared evidence which contradicted them was Official Disinformation, and made moves to outlaw it.
Experts say computers will come alive and eat you. Experts wave their wee p-values at you and ask you believe their correlation is causation (presumably the shock of seeing these creatures dulls the senses and makes one malleable such that you’re willing to believe anything to make the spectacle go away). Experts wrote mountains of papers with results which were wrong, exaggerated, misleading, or useless, and they made you pay them for it (a real skill).
There are many other items in this list. Perhaps you could mention some in the comments below. But be aware what powers you are going up against! All these Experts have “high IQ” and you and I are only pale imitations of our academic betters.
Worst part of these debates is the preposterous (implicit) idea that high intelligence confers high morality or ethics. Being moral or just or saintly has very little correlation, or none, with intelligence. An intelligent or ignorant man is as likely to be good or evil. Obviously, an intelligent saint is preferable to a modest saint in questions of leadership and such like. But finding the saint ain’t easy. People like Confas do not know that Science Is Not The Answer, that the best or right decisions are not scientific. They are too used to thinking that because they, being intelligent, thought of an answer, it is therefore the best answer in all aspects. And that is stupid.
Confas says the anti-intellectual on-line right insist “that the eggheads don’t understand”, and that, say right wings anons, right wings anons are “really the ones we should be paying attention to.”
But he, Confas, had a much better idea of who should be heeded.
Some guy Confas’s video with a squeaky voice sucks up to Confas at the end, praising Confas’s “high IQ level”, which matched that of Romans (yes), and that men far above us like Confas have had the misfortune that they must struggle to outthink the “low IQ” masses throughout history.
Confas agreed with this high praise, saying, “In the late 1800s, Nietzsche said that the time had come for higher men should make a declaration of war against the lower men. I think that’s a correct thing to call for. Because they [the on-line right] have declared war on the higher men…It would be worse for them if they won over the smart people. They think it’s fun to destroy what the smart people have built.”
It is. And not only that, it’s necessary.
Confas’s mistake is to assume that being Anon means being stupid. That is sometimes true, because some Anons figure if Experts lie on subjects as basic as sex and medicine, they are lying on everything. That mistake is how we get flat earths and moon-landing hoax stories. Which are mostly harmless views. And which we never would have got if it weren’t for the earnest mendacity and outright peer-reviewed stupidity of Experts. Confas also never admits any of the right wing Anons many victories against Experts. Perhaps because of poor memory. But recall: poor memory is not tested for on IQ tests.
Which brings us back to our opening joke. The Harvard (all heads bow) Expert on academic cheating was busted for cheating. Amusing. But—it means that even with her Towering High IQ Expertism she didn’t know how to cheat and get away with it, which a person with genuine expertise would have been able to do! And that is hilarious.
(If you look closely at the image in today’s post, you will see an anon commenter over the top of Confas’s mug with a plea.)
Subscribe or donate to support this site and its wholly independent host using credit card click here. Or use the paid subscription at Substack. Cash App: $WilliamMBriggs. For Zelle, use my email: matt@wmbriggs.com, and please include yours so I know who to thank. BUY ME A COFFEE.



This is the Big Brain fatigue I keep writing about. I found many years ago that some of the smartest people are also some of the dumbest.
Now, would you argue that Trump is NOT a "stable genius"? What are the odds?
'Experts say all people are equal, except whites, who excel at “racism”.'
I had a friend in the 90's in Sydney, Australia. A muslim immigrant from Iraq. He used to talk about the reproductive rates of the average muslim woman compared to the average white woman, and concluded that the Caliphate would come about by means of this process. In 50 years, he said, Australia will be a muslim nation.
I expressed my skepticism this way: "Tell me, please; in which period of the history of the British Empire did the British outnumber the collected natives of the colonies they ruled, in an Empire that covered fully one third of the land mass on this planet? You see, it's not about the numbers, but you're openly talking about enslaving and/or eliminating the people who invented mass slaughter on an industrial scale. At the moment those people are relatively passive, even welcoming to your kind. When the day comes that this changes, you will learn that it's not about the numbers. I'm not proud of the facility for large-scale slaughter that is a feature of my racial heritage, but I don't kid myself about it, either."
What whites excel at is ORGANISATION.
It's an artefact of climate and culture. If the Norwegian doesn't plant the seeds at the right time - which means he had to plow at the right time, etc - then everybody starves next winter. If the German doesn't plant corn ... then everybody starves next winter. The warmer and more beneficent the climate, the shorter the time preferences in the culture.
Whatever we're doing we organise, systematise, regulate, etc. As the Quality Management gurus say, repeatability is the first step of process improvement.
So, all these people busy accusing us of racism should be careful that we don't collectively decide we've had enough and organise to remove the irritant.
(P.S. The biggest increase in any particular ethnicity in the Australian population since then? Chinese. So, he was wrong on the quantity and the quality. Probably racist to point that out.)